Shelter location and traffic allocation decisions are critical for an efficient evacuation plan. In this study, we propose a scenario-based two-stage stochastic evacuation planning model that optimally locates shelter sites and that assigns evacuees to nearest shelters and to shortest paths within a tolerance degree to minimize the expected total evacuation time. Our model considers the uncertainty in the evacuation demand and the disruption in the road network and shelter sites. We present a case study for a potential earthquake in Istanbul. We compare the performance of the stochastic programming solutions to solutions based on single scenarios and mean values.
Accepté le :
DOI : 10.1051/ro/2017046
Mots clés : Disaster management, evacuation traffic management, shelter location, constrained system optimal, two-stage stochastic programming, second order cone programming
@article{RO_2018__52_3_779_0,
author = {Bayram, Vedat and Yaman, Hande},
title = {A stochastic programming approach for {Shelter} location and evacuation planning},
journal = {RAIRO - Operations Research - Recherche Op\'erationnelle},
pages = {779--805},
publisher = {EDP-Sciences},
volume = {52},
number = {3},
year = {2018},
doi = {10.1051/ro/2017046},
zbl = {1405.90083},
mrnumber = {3868445},
language = {en},
url = {http://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ro/2017046/}
}
TY - JOUR AU - Bayram, Vedat AU - Yaman, Hande TI - A stochastic programming approach for Shelter location and evacuation planning JO - RAIRO - Operations Research - Recherche Opérationnelle PY - 2018 SP - 779 EP - 805 VL - 52 IS - 3 PB - EDP-Sciences UR - http://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ro/2017046/ DO - 10.1051/ro/2017046 LA - en ID - RO_2018__52_3_779_0 ER -
%0 Journal Article %A Bayram, Vedat %A Yaman, Hande %T A stochastic programming approach for Shelter location and evacuation planning %J RAIRO - Operations Research - Recherche Opérationnelle %D 2018 %P 779-805 %V 52 %N 3 %I EDP-Sciences %U http://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ro/2017046/ %R 10.1051/ro/2017046 %G en %F RO_2018__52_3_779_0
Bayram, Vedat; Yaman, Hande. A stochastic programming approach for Shelter location and evacuation planning. RAIRO - Operations Research - Recherche Opérationnelle, Tome 52 (2018) no. 3, pp. 779-805. doi : 10.1051/ro/2017046. http://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ro/2017046/
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