Iterative isotonic regression

Guyader, Arnaud; Hengartner, Nick; Jégou, Nicolas; Matzner-Løber, Eric

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, Tome 19 (2015), pp. 1-23.

This article explores some theoretical aspects of a recent nonparametric method for estimating a univariate regression function of bounded variation. The method exploits the Jordan decomposition which states that a function of bounded variation can be decomposed as the sum of a non-decreasing function and a non-increasing function. This suggests combining the backfitting algorithm for estimating additive functions with isotonic regression for estimating monotone functions. The resulting iterative algorithm is called Iterative Isotonic Regression (I.I.R.). The main result in this paper states that the estimator is consistent if the number of iterations $k_n$ grows appropriately with the sample size $n$. The proof requires two auxiliary results that are of interest in and by themselves: firstly, we generalize the well-known consistency property of isotonic regression to the framework of a non-monotone regression function, and secondly, we relate the backfitting algorithm to von Neumann’s algorithm in convex analysis. We also analyse how the algorithm can be stopped in practice using a data-splitting procedure.

Classification : 52A05, 62G08, 62G20
Mots clés : Nonparametric statistics, isotonic regression, additive models, metric projection onto convex cones

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