no. 6
Early-confinement strategy to tackling COVID-19 in Morocco; a mathematical modelling study
RAIRO. Operations Research, Tome 56 (2022) no. 6, pp. 4023-4033

Morocco is among the countries that started setting up confinement in the early stage of the COVID-19 spread. Comparing the number of cumulative cases in various countries, a partial lock-down has delayed the exponential outbreak of COVID-19 in Morocco. Using a compartmental model, we attempt to estimate the mean proportion of correctly confined sub-population in Morocco as well as its effect on the continuing spread of COVID-19. A fitting to Moroccan data is established. Furthermore, we have highlighted some COVID-19 epidemic scenarios that could have happened in Morocco after the deconfinement onset while considering a different combination of preventive measures.

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Accepté le :
Première publication :
Publié le :
DOI : 10.1051/ro/2022188
Classification : 92-10
Keywords: COVID-19, confinement, protective measures, compartmental models, basic reproduction number, Fitting, backward bifurcation 
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     author = {El Hail, Khalid and Khaladi, Mohamed and Ouhinou, Aziz},
     editor = {Mahjoub, A. Ridha and Laghrib, A. and Metrane, A.},
     title = {Early-confinement strategy to tackling {COVID-19} in {Morocco;} a mathematical modelling study},
     journal = {RAIRO. Operations Research},
     pages = {4023--4033},
     year = {2022},
     publisher = {EDP-Sciences},
     volume = {56},
     number = {6},
     doi = {10.1051/ro/2022188},
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     url = {https://www.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ro/2022188/}
}
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El Hail, Khalid; Khaladi, Mohamed; Ouhinou, Aziz. Early-confinement strategy to tackling COVID-19 in Morocco; a mathematical modelling study. RAIRO. Operations Research, Tome 56 (2022) no. 6, pp. 4023-4033. doi: 10.1051/ro/2022188

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